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In this series of articles, Denton Jardine and
The Optimist chat about ideas for successful trifecta betting. As the
series continues, we will also be bringing you the ideas of various
experts from around the world.
The Optimist (TO): We were talking
in the last issue of PPM about creative multiples. My view is that if
you cannot get the field down below seven likely winners it’s too hard.
True, you may miss a good payout, but, assuming you have a favourite and
another favoured horse in your seven, you risk receiving a very
moderate return even if you win.
The late Don Scott once wrote that the
best form of exotic betting is the trifecta. I think he was right. Don
said picking a trifecta winning bet was a test of skill rather than a
game of chance. Punters who seek value, he wrote in his book Winning
More, will find it more frequently in trifectas than anywhere else.
There IS value to be found but it will be found in a creative approach.
In
this series of articles, I’ll pass on my own views about the trifecta,
and also those of my colleague The Optimist, who has much of enormous
interest to share in regard to this particular betting form.
Last
month I got quite warmed up about my basic AB concepts, and I added C,
for the actual trifecta component, and D, for betting on the extra or
daily double. You could also use D where you have race-to-race doubles,
as punters do in Victoria. Anyone could open a few TAB accounts, so they
could bet on any or all of those doubles when the occasion arose.
One
of the main attractions of an AB bet is that it can control your
betting, as it demands a fairly hefty piece of capital, and it might
stop temptation from placing a dozen or so worthless small bets in your
path every weekend.
The secret of successful punting is to find some angle that nobody else has found and milk it for all it’s worth before it’s discovered by all and sundry. This angle can and will be found in data that is freely available to everyone and yet overlooked by most, if not all of them. As the saying goes – there are none so blind as those who will not see.
That’s probably being a little bit harsh, as what we’re looking for is not going to be in bold type or have flashing lights drawing attention to it. No, it will be something just lurking below the surface, which will mean that you have to scratch around a bit to get at it, convert it to cash, and then line your pockets with it. Oh well, dreams are free.
When you’re putting a trifecta, or First 4 combination together, are you always loathe to leave out the short-priced runners? Don’t worry, 99 per cent of punters have the same mindset.
Fact is, though, that any trifecta or First 4 in which your bet has nothing but favourites and second favourites is really useless. Even if you score a win, the return is likely to be niggardly.
Daily doubles are in the same boat. Linking well-fancied runners might land you some doubles collects, but overall they won’t enable you to secure a long-term profit.
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