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Winning money at any form of racing is a tough assignment. Winning at harness racing, it is said, is harder despite the fact that many more favourites win than in horse-racing.
The problem with winning trots' favourites is that almost without exception they are at ridiculously short odds. Thus, although the bettor gets his collects they don't add up to enough to ensure a good profit, or even a profit at all.
Trots fans, especially those who bet big on the pacers and trotters, will testify that a good driver is worth a great deal in a tight finish, or in a race where tactics play a key role.
Many and varied are the views on the importance of the so-called Demon Drivers. Those who are firm believers in the 'good drivers, good winners' maxim will claim that a top-notch driver is akin to a top-notch Grand Prix motor-racing ace like Nigel Mansell.
Paul Wishe, 33, has been following harness racing from his schooldays in Melbourne. He now lives in Sydney, runs a business consultancy and bets 'semi-professionally' on Sydney and Melbourne trots meetings.
Harness racing has its own vernacular, so much so that a lot of punters don't understand half what's said or written about the sport. Even harness racing's official website admits as much.
Harness racing form assessment is usually centred on pacers' Mile
Rates. These are now widely used to measure a horse's speed, and P.P.M.
has featured a number of fine methods incorporating Mile Rates.
In
this article, I am going to introduce the added element of Track
Variation, something which tends to be overlooked when we look into
performances at different tracks.
Harness racing circuits vary in
circumference and surface. Tracks with long straights and wide,
sweeping turns produce above-average Mile Rates, even for lower-grade
events. On the other hand, tracks with short straights and tight turns
tend to produce below average Mile Rates, even in the higher class
races.
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