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SUMMARY
Fantastic new approach to strike trots winners
THE TIME MACHINE
Harness racing form assessment is usually centred on pacers' Mile
Rates. These are now widely used to measure a horse's speed, and P.P.M.
has featured a number of fine methods incorporating Mile Rates.
In
this article, I am going to introduce the added element of Track
Variation, something which tends to be overlooked when we look into
performances at different tracks.
Harness racing circuits vary in
circumference and surface. Tracks with long straights and wide,
sweeping turns produce above-average Mile Rates, even for lower-grade
events. On the other hand, tracks with short straights and tight turns
tend to produce below average Mile Rates, even in the higher class
races.
SUMMARY
Pace the key at the trots
SECTIONAL SIZZLERS
Any piece of information that can help you beat the racing game – any
code! – Has to be treated with the utmost respect. In harness racing
you cannot hope to win in the long term without understanding sectional
times.
Sectional times are broken down into lead times, quarters
of the mile and the Mile Rate. The 'lead time' is the angle we are going
to analyse here, and I'll demonstrate how it can put you on to many
winners, as well as helping you avoid losers (which is almost as good as
wining!).
The 'lead time' (which I will from now refer to as the
LT) is the time taken to travel from the start of a race to the start
of the last mile (or the mile marker). This LT can tell you a lot about a
race, no matter if the time recorded is fast or slow.
SUMMARY
Trotting's big betting trap
DANGER SIGNALS
Recently, a friend rang me up declaring he had a special at the Bankstown (NSW) harness racing meeting that night. The horse, he told me excitedly, had excellent form, had drawn barrier one and was quoted at 12/1 in the morning newspaper market.
They are certainly the ingredients for a great eachway chance, especially at those odds. I told him I hadn't done the form for the meeting but when I had I would call him back and let him know what I thought.
When I did call him, my mate was somewhat bewildered when I informed him that in my opinion his 'eachway special' was little more than a 50/1 chance! Naturally, he wanted to know why.
