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There are many ways of looking at a last start winner. The principal thought that goes through my mind when I see this “1” against a horse’s name is that it automatically qualifies for a second look.
I know that another horse may have been beaten in a better race, and that some other horse again might have been unlucky, etc etc, but the fact is that a last start winner attracts your attention. Or it ought to.
First question this month comes from Dean Gardner from Melbourne, who writes: I'm a young stud who's only just got into racing, mainly due to attending Oaks Day at Flemington last year and finding it's the place to be in Melbourne during spring. After going to the races a few times since, along with frequent visits to my local TAB, I got to know one old regular who goes by the adage of "winning-form is good form".
After reading somewhere that last-start winners win about 30 per cent of races, my question is: Is this a truism, is winning-form good-form, or just another racing fable that doesn't stand up to the test?
Many last-start winners win again and one region potential profit source: Perth!
WA racing has always displayed a certain level of consistency. The track ratings are nearly always fast, and, with only two metropolitan tracks, some of the variations that beat many punters elsewhere are eliminated. But it is not only these conditions that are consistent.