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SUMMARY
Getting to grips with a daily betting headache
WEIGHT – WILL IT STOP A TRAIN?
One of the great ongoing debates in the racing world is the question of weight and the effect that it has on horses in a race. I’d like to put a couple of thoughts in your head about this issue, so that you might better understand what it’s all about and why it is such an indefinite thing.
Does anybody remember Rocky Marciano? Okay, what about Jimmy Carruthers? Too young? Try Luciano Pavarotti and Kylie Minogue. Now I want you to think about Don Bradman and Ian Thorpe. And let’s throw in Wesley Hall and Shane Warne.
SUMMARY
Just how important is the racing handicapper?
WEIGHING THE FORM
Weight is the most important single factor when any punter comes to analyse race form. It doesn't matter if a race is a handicap or a Set Weights or Weight For Age event-weight counts!
There is a rigid simplicity behind handicapping. The handicapper allocates higher weights to the horses with the best form. The aim is to get all the horses across the line in a dead-heat, something which never happens except on a small scale (two horses dead-heating).
SUMMARY
Up to 1200m, the handicap may not mean much at all
CAN WEIGHT STOP A GOOD THING?
They say “weight will stop a train” and it is fair to say that at some point it will. However, the most over-rated variable in thoroughbred racing simply has to be weights.
From trainers to owners, to commentators and punters, the cry is always “but he has 61kg” or whatever impost the handicapper has assessed the horse should carry.
SUMMARY
TORQUING SPEED
Speed Ratings are still a relatively new science in Australian racing and I want to briefly touch on some recent findings with regard to the effect of weight on a horse’s Speed Ratings.
Racing traditionally has always been about weight. The whole game is based upon it. Handicappers grade a horse’s ability to carry it and bookmakers frame betting markets around a system of grading a horse’s performance by using it.
SUMMARY
A key racing factor comes under attack
WEIGHT IMPACT- IS IT ALL A MYTH?
The importance of weights as a major form instrument. for the greater part of racing's history, has never been a contentious issue. Weights have long been regarded as the cornerstone of successful ratings and form analysis.The late Rem Plante's detailed inquiry some 40 years ago into the impact of weight in form evaluation was regarded as groundbreaking. It was this work that propelled his 60s publication, the Australian Horse Racing and Punters Guide still regarded as the first and possibly only punters' bible of Australian racing.
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