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How to understand the kilos games
MEASURE THOSE WEIGHT FACTORS
In this article, provided by the respected UK website Flatstats (www.flatstats.co.uk), some pertinent points are made about the effects of weight on racehorses. The article refers to British racing but can be related strongly to Australian/NZ racing. PPM's Richard Hartley Jnr offers some comments on the article as well.
Do you believe that weight is an effective tool for controlling the performance of a horse? Do you think a horse going up 10lb (5kg) in the weights has less chance today than last time?
Weight is one of the great racing conundrums. How can a few kilos extra on the back of a 1000lb (500kg) thoroughbred influence its performance?
Getting to grips with a daily betting headache
WEIGHT – WILL IT STOP A TRAIN?
One of the great ongoing debates in the racing world is the question of weight and the effect that it has on horses in a race. I’d like to put a couple of thoughts in your head about this issue, so that you might better understand what it’s all about and why it is such an indefinite thing.
Does anybody remember Rocky Marciano? Okay, what about Jimmy Carruthers? Too young? Try Luciano Pavarotti and Kylie Minogue. Now I want you to think about Don Bradman and Ian Thorpe. And let’s throw in Wesley Hall and Shane Warne.
Just how important is the racing handicapper?
WEIGHING THE FORM
Weight is the most important single factor when any punter comes to analyse race form. It doesn't matter if a race is a handicap or a Set Weights or Weight For Age event-weight counts!
There is a rigid simplicity behind handicapping. The handicapper allocates higher weights to the horses with the best form. The aim is to get all the horses across the line in a dead-heat, something which never happens except on a small scale (two horses dead-heating).
Plan of the Month
TOPWEIGHTS . . . THEIR TIME OF YEAR
If there is a time of year for any horse, now is the time for the topweight. It is the time that the tracks are at their truest, and the best of the crops are away resting or trying to win in Western Australia.
The topweight in a handicap is immediately at a disadvantage. This is true of every handicap ever run, regardless of the comment often made about a topweight that it is we, in or "well handicapped".
If it is giving away weight it is, first and foremost, at a disadvantage. The next step the punter must undertake is to establish the extent of the disadvantage, by asking the following question:
The weight versus speed battle – Part 2
THE KILOS KILLER
In last month's issue my colleague Ted Davies talked about the battle between speed ratings and weight ratings, and quoted the Melbourne expert Paul Segar's interesting views on the merits of Speed Ratings handicapping.
Somehow, I think that the average Australian punter would be better off to stick with Weight Ratings, if only for the fact that they are more easily worked out. But there's more to my reasoning than that.
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